Nike Has Tumbled 38% in 2026: Is It Time to Switch to Dick’s or Lululemon?
Nike (NKE) fell 38% in 2026, Lululemon (LULU) dropped 52%, and Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) declined 29%. Nike's Q2 revenue was $10.97B, EPS $0.72, boosted by a $986M tariff refund. LULU and DKS also reported tariff-related gains but lowered guidance. Nike's investor day on Nov 16-17 is a key event.
How this was made

The 30-second read
Why it matters
Earnings misses and guidance reductions drive further price declines; investor day may offer new information.
Market read
Nike, Dick's Sporting Goods, and Lululemon all face significant downside, highlighting weakness in the athletic apparel sector.
What to watch
Potential World Cup sales boost and upcoming investor day could provide upside catalysts.
Background
The article reviews the recent earnings and guidance cuts for the three major athletic apparel companies and discusses sector dynamics.
Ticker impact
Nike reported Q2 FY2027 earnings with revenue $10.97B, EPS $0.72 (including $986M tariff refund) and a guidance reset, causing a 38% YTD drop.
downward pressure likely to continue until guidance clarity.
Guidance reset and weak core metrics signal continued weakness; investor day may provide catalyst but uncertainty remains.
Dick's Sporting Goods posted Q2 FY2027 EPS $3.53 (miss) and trimmed FY non‑GAAP EPS guidance to $11‑$12, after a Foot Locker acquisition drag.
moderate downside risk.
Guidance reduction reflects execution risk; no immediate catalyst beyond sector weakness.
Lululemon Q2 comparable sales fell 9% globally, lowered FY revenue guidance to $10.35‑$10.5B, and noted a $134.5M tariff refund.
further decline likely.
Guidance cut and sales weakness suggest continued pressure despite tariff offset.
Market effects
Athletic apparel sector faces broad headwinds; category weakness may pressure peers.
Greater China revenue decline and tariff refunds affect exposure in Asia.
Sector drag could influence retail ETFs (XRT) and broader market sentiment.
Counterpoint
Tariff refunds may mask underlying recovery; investors could view the bounce as a buying opportunity.
Key entities
- ExecutiveElliott Hill
Nike CEO leading turnaround and investor day.
- ExecutiveHeidi O'Neill
Incoming Lululemon CEO.



