Netflix is headed for its worst year since 2022. Wells Fargo thinks a comeback is unlikely
Wells Fargo downgraded Netflix (NFLX) to underweight, lowering its price target to $57 from $80, citing declining viewership and engagement trends. Shares have fallen 20% in 2026 and 38% over the past year. The bank sees a comeback unlikely without hit content, though consensus remains bullish.
How this was made

The 30-second read
Why it matters
The downgrade reinforces a bearish outlook and may trigger further selling.
Market read
Analyst downgrade of a mega‑cap streaming leader adds downside pressure to the sector.
What to watch
Potential cost reductions and new ad‑supported tiers could mitigate revenue pressure.
Background
Netflix has fallen nearly 20% in 2026 amid slumping viewership and rising competition.
Ticker impact
Wells Fargo downgraded Netflix to underweight and cut the price target to $57 from $80, citing worsening engagement trends.
Potential further decline of 5‑10% in the short term.
The downgrade is fresh, the new target implies 24% downside from the current price, and the note highlights deteriorating viewership metrics.
Market effects
Streaming sector may face broader pressure as Netflix's decline could weigh on peers.
U.S. equity markets may see a modest pullback in consumer discretionary stocks.
International streaming services could see heightened scrutiny from investors.
Counterpoint
If Netflix can deliver breakout hits, the stock may rebound despite the downgrade.
Key entities
- AnalystWells Fargo
Issued the downgrade and new price target.
- AnalystSteven Cahill
Provided commentary on engagement trends.

