Nike stock still hasn't bottomed, analyst warns
Bank of America analyst Lorraine Hutchinson downgraded Nike (NKE) to underperform, setting a $30 price target, 15% below current levels. She cites prolonged revenue weakness, Greater China sales decline, and wholesale inventory risks. Nike's stock is down 45% year-to-date. Hutchinson also lowered EPS estimates for 2027 and 2028, raising concerns about dividend durability with a 107% payout ratio projected for 2027.
How this was made
The 30-second read
Why it matters
The downgrade may accelerate short-selling and widen credit spreads on Nike's debt.
Market read
Nike's large market cap and recent price weakness make this downgrade a notable market mover.
What to watch
Potential cost-cutting initiatives and upcoming product launches could mitigate earnings decline.
Background
Nike shares have fallen ~45% YTD; the downgrade adds fresh analyst criticism on revenue, inventory, and dividend sustainability.
Ticker impact
Bank of America downgraded Nike to underperform, cut price target to $30 and lowered FY2027/2028 EPS estimates.
Short-term price pressure, possible continuation of 45% YTD decline.
Downgrade is fresh, includes new EPS and dividend payout assumptions, and aligns with existing weak price trend.
Market effects
Athletic apparel sector may face broader pressure as peers' valuations adjust to Nike's downgrade.
U.S. consumer discretionary stocks could see modest pullback.
Limited to markets with significant Nike exposure.
Counterpoint
If Nike can stabilize inventory and improve Greater China sales, the stock may be oversold.
Key entities
- companyNike Inc.
Athletic footwear and apparel maker.
- analyst_firmBank of America
Issuer of the downgrade and new price target.




