Quantum Computing Price Prediction: IonQ at $43.91, Rigetti at $15.74
IonQ, Rigetti, D-Wave, and Quantum Computing Inc. showed divergent stock performance. IonQ rose 12.0% since August, while D-Wave fell 3.3%. IonQ's market cap is $17.45B (70.8x sales), Rigetti's $5.25B (393x sales), D-Wave's $6.12B (492x sales), and Quantum Computing Inc.'s $1.91B (195x sales). IonQ's 2026 revenue outlook is $450M-$460M. Rigetti and D-Wave secured $100M Commerce awards. Analysts' price targets vary, with IonQ's low at $41.85.
How this was made

The 30-second read
Why it matters
Guidance lift for IonQ may trigger short covering; contract awards could spur buying in Rigetti and D‑Wave if equity dilution is deemed acceptable.
Market read
New guidance and contracts create fresh price catalysts for a handful of niche quantum stocks.
What to watch
SkyWater integration risk for IonQ and potential execution delays for Rigetti/D‑Wave.
Background
Quantum‑computing companies are valued on speculative future revenue; recent government contracts and guidance updates provide rare concrete data.
Ticker impact
IonQ raised its 2026 revenue guidance to $450‑$460M, adding SkyWater revenue and prompting a $60 Buy note.
upward pressure as investors price in higher revenue
Guidance increase is a fresh, material disclosure; analysts already set a $60 target above current price.
Quantum Computing Inc. reported Q2 revenue of $5.6M and a $1.3B cash balance after acquisitions.
limited movement; cash cushion may support stability
Numbers are modest and already known; no new catalyst beyond routine reporting.
Market effects
Highlights funding challenges and valuation gaps in the quantum‑computing sector.
U.S. quantum‑tech stocks may see divergent moves based on individual contract outcomes.
Limited to niche tech investors; no broad market effect.
Counterpoint
Contracts tied to equity could dilute existing shareholders, offsetting cash benefits.
Key entities
- CompanyIonQ
Pure‑play quantum hardware firm
- CompanyRigetti Computing
Superconducting quantum system provider
- CompanyD‑Wave Systems
Quantum annealing hardware maker
- CompanyQuantum Computing Inc.
Photonics and semiconductor quantum firm




