Alaska Air Group, Inc. Stock 12‑Month Price Target Cut to $55.94, Implies 42% Upside

Alaska Airlines plans to join American Airlines' Atlantic and Pacific Joint Businesses, expanding its global reach. The move requires regulatory approval and would allow coordinated schedules and loyalty benefits. Alaska is already part of the oneworld alliance. The deal aims to improve international connectivity for West Coast travelers.

Alaska Airlines and American Airlines plan to expand their partnership, with Alaska joining American's Atlantic and Pacific Joint Businesses. The move, subject to regulatory approval, aims to enhance international travel options and compete with global carriers. Alaska Air Group Inc. seeks to strengthen its network and loyalty program benefits. Analysts note this could offset operational pressures from recent acquisitions.

Alaska Air Group is investing in premium travel options, including lie-flat seats and new lounges, to boost revenue amid high fuel costs. The company expects these changes to add $3-$4 to earnings per share and increase margins by 2-3 percentage points. The move follows its acquisition of Hawaiian Airlines and aims to expand international routes. However, the timeline for a $10-a-share earnings goal is uncertain due to fuel prices and economic conditions.

Alaska Air Group is investing in premium travel features, such as lie-flat seats and new lounges, aiming to boost earnings per share by $3-$4 and margins by 2-3 percentage points within a few years. The move comes as high fuel costs impact profits, with CEO Shane Tackett noting that the 2027 earnings target of $10 per share may be delayed. Alaska also plans to expand international routes from Seattle and increase loyalty program cash payments to $4 billion annually by 2030.

Alaska Airlines expects Boeing 737 MAX 10 certification by month's end, with CEO Kelly Ortberg confirming final FAA documentation is underway. The MAX 10, Boeing's largest 737 MAX, accounts for 31% of undelivered orders. Alaska plans 52 deliveries in 2027-2028, totaling 168 airframes. Certification is crucial for Boeing's financial recovery, with MAX 10 achieving 98% of flight testing.

Alaska Airlines anticipates US certification of Boeing's 737 MAX 10 by late September, with deliveries starting in spring 2027. The airline has ordered 105 MAX 10s, crucial for its growth plans. Boeing is finalizing documentation for certification, which is also vital for competing with Airbus's A321neo.