PayPal raises 2026 profit forecast as chief executive presses turnaround
PayPal (PYPL) raised its 2026 adjusted earnings forecast to $5.60 per share from $5.38. Q3 adjusted earnings beat expectations at $1.45 per share, though revenue of $8.58B missed estimates. Net profit declined to $1.07B, while payment volume grew 6% to $487.14B. CEO Enrique Lores aims for double-digit EPS growth through investments in consumer financial services, particularly Venmo.
How this was made

The 30-second read
Why it matters
The earnings beat and raised guidance provide a fresh, material catalyst for the stock, likely prompting short‑term buying.
Market read
Guidance lift for a large‑cap fintech firm can move both the stock and the sector, offering a short‑term trading opportunity.
What to watch
Potential competitive pressure from Stripe and evolving regulatory scrutiny on digital payments.
Background
PayPal reported Q3 adjusted EPS of $1.45 versus $1.31 consensus, with revenue slightly below forecasts, but still posted a 6% rise in total payment volume.
Ticker impact
PayPal raised its 2026 adjusted earnings forecast to $5.60 per share, up from $5.38, and lifted transaction margin outlook.
likely upward pressure as the market prices in the earnings forecast lift
The new earnings per share guidance exceeds prior expectations and follows a beat in Q3, providing a fresh catalyst for buying.
Market effects
Higher earnings guidance may lift the broader fintech and digital payments sector.
U.S. markets could see a modest rally in payment‑related stocks.
PayPal's outlook could influence global payment‑service providers and related ADRs.
Counterpoint
If the turnaround takes longer than expected, the guidance could be overly optimistic.
Key entities
- ExecutiveEnrique Lores
CEO of PayPal, leading the turnaround strategy.



