Scotts Miracle-Gro earnings beat by $0.05, revenue fell short of estimates

Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG) reported Q4 EPS of $-2.16, beating estimates by $0.05, but revenue of $302.9M missed expectations of $306.1M. The company forecasts FY 2027 EPS of $4.70-$4.90, above consensus of $4.41. SMG's stock is down 1.76% over 3 months but up 10.32% year-over-year.

Original reporting
Published Nov 4, 2026, 12:30 PM UTC
Analysis
AlphAI AI DeskAI-generated
Added to AlphAI Nov 4, 2026, 12:41 PM UTC. Informational, not investment advice.
How this was made
AlphAI summarizes source reporting and applies a structured AI analysis for relevance, timing, sentiment and ticker impact. Always verify material claims with the original publisher.
AlphAI market briefEarnings
Primary signal
$SMG
Bullish
high confidence
Mentioned
$SMG
Relevance
8/10
AlphAI data visualization · based on investing.com
Decision brief

The 30-second read

$SMGBullishHigh
01

Why it matters

The earnings beat and guidance raise expectations for future profitability, likely supporting a price rally.

02

Market read

First‑report earnings news for a mid‑cap consumer discretionary firm; actionable for short‑term traders.

03

What to watch

Potential supply‑chain cost pressures not discussed in the brief could temper upside.

Relevance 8/10Novelty 8/10Timing: post-market after earnings release

Background

Scotts Miracle‑Gro (SMG) reported Q4 results with a small EPS beat and raised FY guidance, while revenue missed estimates.

Company-level read

Ticker impact

$SMGBullishHigh confidence
Context

Q4 EPS beat by $0.05 and FY 2027 EPS guidance raised to $4.70-$4.90, above consensus.

Expected impact

upward pressure as investors price in the earnings beat and higher guidance

Evidence & confidence

The beat and guidance lift expectations; analysts are likely to raise forecasts, supporting a price rise.

Market effects

Improves outlook for the lawn and garden sector as SMG is a leading player.

Positive for U.S. consumer discretionary earnings season.

Limited to investors tracking U.S. mid‑cap earnings.

Counterpoint

If the beat is seen as modest and revenue miss raises concerns, the stock could face short‑term profit‑taking.

Key entities

  • Scotts Miracle‑Gro

    U.S. listed lawn and garden products company (NYSE: SMG).

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What Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG) Said on Its Q4 Earnings Call

Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG) expects $100M in commodity headwinds for fiscal 2027, planning 4% price increases and $35M in supply chain savings. Adjusted gross margin is expected to expand, though likely at the lower end of its target. Inventory levels are up slightly, and the $55M acquisition of Black Kow is expected to boost sales. The company aims to reduce net debt to 3-3.5x EBITDA by fiscal 2029, with $275M in free cash flow expected for fiscal 2027.

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The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company Q4 2026 Earnings Call Summary

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company reported a 1% sales growth in Q4 2026, driven by a shift to premium branded products, with Miracle-Gro Organic growing 18%. E-commerce sales rose 24% to 13% of total sales. The company expects 2%-4% net sales growth and $4.70-$4.90 adjusted EPS in fiscal 2027, with plans to mitigate commodity inflation and invest in digital transformation. Management emphasized profitability over volume and debt reduction.

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Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG) reported Q4 2026 earnings, highlighting 18% growth in Miracle-Gro Organic sales and a 16% increase in pre-emergent units. The company acquired Black Kow, expanded e-commerce to 13% of sales, and plans 2%-4% net sales growth for 2027 with adjusted EPS of $4.70-$4.90. SMG emphasized innovation, operational efficiencies, and strategic investments.