Scotts Miracle-Gro outlines fiscal 2027 adjusted EPS of $4.70 to $4.90 with 2% to 4% sales growth driven by Black Kow and targeted pricing (NYSE:SMG)

Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG) expects fiscal 2027 adjusted EPS of $4.70 to $4.90, with 2% to 4% sales growth. CEO Nate Baxter cited operational and financial improvements in fiscal 2026, positioning the company for accelerated profitability and shareholder returns in fiscal 2027.

Original reporting
Published Nov 4, 2026, 8:25 PM UTC
Analysis
AlphAI AI DeskAI-generated
Added to AlphAI Nov 4, 2026, 8:28 PM UTC. Informational, not investment advice.
How this was made
AlphAI summarizes source reporting and applies a structured AI analysis for relevance, timing, sentiment and ticker impact. Always verify material claims with the original publisher.
AlphAI market briefEarnings
Primary signal
$SMG
Bullish
high confidence
Mentioned
$SMG
Relevance
9/10
AlphAI data visualization · based on seekingalpha.com
Decision brief

The 30-second read

$SMGBullishHigh
01

Why it matters

The guidance upgrade is likely to trigger buying interest.

02

Market read

New earnings guidance for a large cap consumer‑goods company is a material market event.

03

What to watch

Potential input‑cost inflation or supply‑chain constraints could erode margins.

Relevance 9/10Novelty 9/10Timing: post‑market release

Background

Scotts Miracle‑Gro provides lawn and garden products; its FY27 guidance follows a solid FY26 performance.

Company-level read

Ticker impact

$SMGBullishHigh confidence
Context

Scotts Miracle-Gro disclosed FY2027 adjusted EPS guidance of $4.70‑$4.90 and 2%‑4% sales growth driven by Black Kow.

Expected impact

likely upward pressure as investors price in higher earnings

Evidence & confidence

New EPS and sales outlook for FY27 is material for a large‑cap consumer‑goods company.

Market effects

Improved outlook may lift the lawn‑care and garden products sector.

U.S. consumer‑discretionary market could see modest gains.

Limited to companies with similar product lines; no broad macro effect.

Counterpoint

If sales growth assumptions prove optimistic, the stock could face disappointment.

Key entities

  • Scotts Miracle‑Gro Company

    U.S. listed consumer‑goods firm (NYSE:SMG).

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Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG) expects $100M in commodity headwinds for fiscal 2027, planning 4% price increases and $35M in supply chain savings. Adjusted gross margin is expected to expand, though likely at the lower end of its target. Inventory levels are up slightly, and the $55M acquisition of Black Kow is expected to boost sales. The company aims to reduce net debt to 3-3.5x EBITDA by fiscal 2029, with $275M in free cash flow expected for fiscal 2027.

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The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company Q4 2026 Earnings Call Summary

The Scotts Miracle-Gro Company reported a 1% sales growth in Q4 2026, driven by a shift to premium branded products, with Miracle-Gro Organic growing 18%. E-commerce sales rose 24% to 13% of total sales. The company expects 2%-4% net sales growth and $4.70-$4.90 adjusted EPS in fiscal 2027, with plans to mitigate commodity inflation and invest in digital transformation. Management emphasized profitability over volume and debt reduction.

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Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Scotts Miracle-Gro (SMG) reported Q4 2026 earnings, highlighting 18% growth in Miracle-Gro Organic sales and a 16% increase in pre-emergent units. The company acquired Black Kow, expanded e-commerce to 13% of sales, and plans 2%-4% net sales growth for 2027 with adjusted EPS of $4.70-$4.90. SMG emphasized innovation, operational efficiencies, and strategic investments.