$ACGL

Arch Capital Group (ACGL) reported Q3 adjusted EPS of $2.67, beating estimates of $2.30, with revenue of $5.39B exceeding expectations. Net income fell to $1.0B from $1.3B YoY. The company noted a 6.3% decline in net premiums earned and $234M in pre-tax catastrophic losses. CEO Nicolas Papadopoulo highlighted strong underwriting and investment performance. ACGL repurchased $1.4B in shares and saw a 0.2% decrease in book value per share.

ARCH CAPITAL GROUP LTD. (ACGL) filed an SEC Form 8-K — Results of Operations and Financial Condition. EXHIBIT 99.1 PRESS RELEASE Arch Capital Group Ltd. NASDAQ Symbol: ACGL Waterloo House, Ground Floor For Immediate Release 100 Pitts Bay Road October 27, 2026 Pembroke HM 08 Bermuda ARCH CAPITAL GROUP LTD. REPORTS 2026 THIRD QUARTER RESULTS PEMBROKE, BERMUDA--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Arch

Arch Capital Group Ltd. is set to report Q3 earnings, with analysts expecting $2.30 EPS on $4.06B revenue, down 17% YoY. Low catastrophe losses may offset pricing pressure. The stock has a consensus price target of $110.13, but recent downgrades and mortgage insurance concerns cloud the outlook. Investors will watch for catastrophe activity, competitive pressure, and mortgage unit guidance.

Arch Capital Group (ACGL) fell 1.04% to $100.24, lagging behind major indices. The company's stock has risen 6.68% in the past month. Analysts expect Q3 EPS of $2.05 and revenue of $4.46B, down 25.99% and 5.49% YoY, respectively. The Zacks Consensus Estimates project full-year earnings of $9.7 per share and revenue of $17.72B, down 1.42% and 5.7% YoY. ACGL has a Forward P/E of 10.45 and a PEG ratio of 3.05, below and above industry averages, respectively.

Arch Capital Group (ACGL) saw $185.2 million in net ETF buying on Oct. 16, with 29 ETFs purchasing shares and 11 selling. The largest buyers were FTCS, FTGS, and XLF. ACGL operates in insurance and reinsurance, with a market cap of $34.3 billion and a P/E ratio of 7.85. The stock's year-to-date return is 4.75%.

On Friday, ETFs saw net outflows of $2.05 billion. SPY had inflows of $3.47 billion, while QQQ had outflows of $3.33 billion and IGV saw $746.5 million in outflows. Arch Capital Group (ACGL) had the highest additions at $185.2 million, and Gilead Sciences (GILD) had the highest trims at -$200.9 million.

Analysts downgraded several companies: Morgan Stanley cut Arch Capital (ACGL) to Equal-Weight, Piper Sandler downgraded AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) to Neutral, B of A Securities downgraded Pershing Square (PS) to Underperform, Mizuho downgraded Lantheus (LNTH) to Neutral, and HSBC downgraded Adobe (ADBE) to Hold. Price targets were also reduced for each company.

Analysts updated price targets for several companies. Keybanc cut Duke Energy's target to $128, Susquehanna reduced Hyatt's to $180, B of A cut Pershing Square's to $38, Baird lowered Carlisle's to $402, Goldman Sachs slashed Upstart's to $28, Truist boosted V.F. Corporation's to $20, Mizuho raised Rexford Industrial's to $41, Morgan Stanley cut Arch Capital's to $100, Needham increased SentinelOne's to $31, and Mizuho raised Humana's to $495.

Morgan Stanley downgraded Arch Capital Group (ACGL) to Equalweight, lowering its price target to $100 from $105, citing a prolonged soft market in insurance and reinsurance. The firm noted broader pricing trends and normalizing return on equity as reasons for the downgrade. ACGL reported Q2 earnings and revenue exceeding expectations, but investors remain cautious due to market challenges. Cantor Fitzgerald also lowered its price target to $105 while raising long-term earnings estimates.

JPMorgan reduced its price target for Arch Capital Group from $118 to $113. The company's stock is currently trading at $96.08, with a 5-day change of +1.86%. Evercore ISI also adjusted its target to $105 from $103.