$UAL earnings report

United Delivers Record 17% Revenue Growth in Q3, and Expects Record Q4 Revenue Growth, Underpinned by Accelerating Customer Investments. AlphAI read United Airlines Holdings's Q3 FY2026 filing as mixed.

Q3 FY2026

AlphAI · Earnings readUAL · Q3 2026 · ended September 30, 2026

United Delivers Record 17% Revenue Growth in Q3, and Expects Record Q4 Revenue Growth, Underpinned by Accelerating Customer Investments

→Mixed quarter

Record revenue and broad-based unit-revenue growth outpaced modest capacity growth, but a 61.6% increase in aircraft fuel expense drove total operating expense growth above revenue growth and reduced adjusted operating, pre-tax and net income year over year.

Revenue
$17.9B
17.4% y/y
Domestic passenger revenue
$9.71B
19.9% y/y
Operating margin · GAAP
8.1 %
(1.1) pts. y/y
EPS · non-GAAP
$ 2.54
(8.6%) y/y
Q4 2026 outlook
over 20% year-over-year increase

Key metrics

shortened, hover for the filing’s print
MetricValueq/qy/y
Q3 total operating revenueGAAP$17.88B–17.4%
Q3 passenger revenueGAAP$16.24B–17.6%
Q3 cargo revenueGAAP$529M–22.9%
Q3 other operating revenueGAAP$1.11B–12.9%
Q3 total operating expenseGAAP$16.43B–18.8%
Q3 aircraft fuel expenseGAAP$4.84B–61.6%
Q3 adjusted operating expensesnon-GAAP$11.59B–9.1%
Q3 operating incomeGAAP$1.45B–3.6%
Q3 adjusted operating incomenon-GAAP$1.23B–(6.9%)
Q3 operating marginGAAP8.1 %–(1.1) pts.
Q3 adjusted operating marginnon-GAAP6.9 %–(1.8) pts.
Q3 pre-tax incomeGAAP$1.31B–4.5%
Q3 adjusted pre-tax incomenon-GAAP$1.11B–(8.7%)
Q3 pre-tax marginGAAP7.3 %–(0.9) pts.
Q3 adjusted pre-tax marginnon-GAAP6.2 %–(1.8) pts.
Q3 net incomeGAAP$1.03B–8.5%
Q3 adjusted net incomenon-GAAP$833M–(8.4%)
Q3 diluted earnings per shareGAAP$ 3.14–8.3%
Q3 adjusted diluted earnings per sharenon-GAAP$ 2.54–(8.6%)
Q3 effective tax rateGAAP21.5 %––
Q3 total revenue per available seat mile (TRASM)other20.19–15.9
Q3 passenger revenue per available seat mile (PRASM)other18.34–16.1
Q3 average yield per RPMother21.86–16.8
Q3 cost per ASM (CASM)GAAP18.56–17.3
Q3 CASM-exnon-GAAP13.09–7.8
Q3 average aircraft fuel price per gallonother$ 3.90–60.3
Q3 fuel gallons consumedother1.24B–0.8
Q3 capacity, ASMsother88.54B–1.3
Q3 passengersother49.53M–2.4
Q3 revenue passenger miles (RPMs)other74.28B–0.7
Q3 consolidated passenger load factorother83.9 %–(0.5) pts.
Q3 cargo revenue ton milesother936M–5.2
Q3 aircraft in fleet at end of periodother1,575–6.0
Q3 average stage lengthother1,468 (miles)–(2.7)
Q3 employee headcount, as of September 30other117.9K–5.4
Q3 adjusted EBITDAnon-GAAP$2.03B––
Q3 adjusted EBITDA marginnon-GAAP11.4 %––
Q3 adjusted EBITDARnon-GAAP$2.31B––
Q3 free cash flownon-GAAP−$1.84B––
Nine months total operating revenueGAAP$50.16B–14.8%
Nine months operating incomeGAAP$3.54B–6.4%
Nine months net incomeGAAP$2.53B–9.7%
Nine months diluted earnings per shareGAAP$ 7.74–10.3%
Nine months free cash flownon-GAAP$1.38B––

Segments

SegmentRevenueq/qy/y
Domestic passenger revenueNot separately disclosed.$9.71B–19.9%
Europe passenger revenueNot separately disclosed.$3.32B–13.3%
Middle East/India/Africa passenger revenueNot separately disclosed.$287M–(17.3%)
Atlantic passenger revenueNot separately disclosed.$3.61B–10.1%
Pacific passenger revenueNot separately disclosed.$1.58B–16.5%
Latin America passenger revenueNot separately disclosed.$1.34B–24.2%
International passenger revenueNot separately disclosed.$6.53B–14.3%

Amounts quoted below without a unit are in millions, as in the filing’s tables. Per-share figures are as printed.

Q4 2026 outlook

  • Revenueover 20% year-over-year increase
  • NoteUnited expects Q4 total operating revenue growth to accelerate versus Q3 and set another record.
  • NoteStarlink availability is expected to reach 61% by the end of 2026.
  • NoteStarlink availability is expected to reach 87% by June 1.
  • NoteStarlink is expected to be available fleet-wide by the end of 2027.

Capital returns

  • Repurchases of common stock of $ 27 (in millions) for the nine months ended September 30, 2026.

What drove it

  • Total operating revenue rose 17.4% while capacity increased 1.3%.
  • Premium revenue was up 17%, revenue from Basic Economy was up 16%, loyalty revenue was up 17% and cargo revenue was up 23% compared to the third quarter of 2025.
  • Contracted business revenue was up 26% compared to the third quarter of 2025.
  • Economy cabin unit revenue was up 17% year-over-year.
  • TRASM was up 15.9% and PRASM was up 16.1%.
  • United carried a record 49.5 million revenue customers during the quarter.
  • Starlink was installed on more than 640 aircraft and was available on about half of all United flights, including regional flights.

Concerns

  • Aircraft fuel expense increased 61.6% to $ 4,843 (in millions), while the average aircraft fuel price per gallon increased to $ 3.90 from $ 2.43.
  • Total operating expense increased 18.8%, faster than total operating revenue growth of 17.4%.
  • Adjusted operating income declined 6.9%, adjusted pre-tax income declined 8.7% and adjusted diluted earnings per share declined 8.6%.
  • Adjusted operating margin declined (1.8) pts. to 6.9 %, and adjusted pre-tax margin declined (1.8) pts. to 6.2 %.
  • Q3 free cash flow was $ (1,843) (in millions), compared with $ (153) (in millions) in the prior-year quarter.
  • Middle East/India/Africa passenger revenue declined (17.3%).

What to watch

  • Whether Q4 total operating revenue growth exceeds 20% year over year and accelerates versus Q3.
  • Fuel-price volatility following a Q3 average aircraft fuel price per gallon of $ 3.90.
  • The conversion of Starlink availability, which reached more than 640 aircraft, into customer and revenue benefits.
  • Delivery on the plan for Starlink availability to reach 61% by the end of 2026 and 87% by June 1.
  • Adjusted margin recovery after Q3 adjusted operating margin of 6.9 % and adjusted pre-tax margin of 6.2 %.
  • The pace of capital expenditures and free-cash-flow generation.

Balance sheet and cash flow

  • Ending available liquidity of $17.7 billion.
  • Cash and cash equivalents of $ 6,648 (in millions) at September 30, 2026.
  • Short-term investments of $ 8,005 (in millions) at September 30, 2026.
  • Debt, finance lease obligations and other financial liabilities of $ 26,398 (in millions) at September 30, 2026.
  • Adjusted total debt of $ 35,120 (in millions) at September 30, 2026.
  • Adjusted net debt of $ 20,467 (in millions) at September 30, 2026.
  • Net leverage of 2.4 at September 30, 2026.
  • Net cash provided by operating activities of $ 465 (in millions) for the three months ended September 30, 2026.
  • Net cash used in investing activities of $ (3,839) (in millions) for the three months ended September 30, 2026.
  • Capital expenditures, net of flight equipment purchase deposit returns of $ 2,139 (in millions) for the three months ended September 30, 2026.
  • Adjusted capital expenditures of $ 2,193 (in millions) for the three months ended September 30, 2026.
  • Net cash provided by operating activities of $ 6,874 (in millions) for the nine months ended September 30, 2026.
  • Net cash used in investing activities of $ (7,192) (in millions) for the nine months ended September 30, 2026.
  • Capital expenditures, net of flight equipment purchase deposit returns of $ 5,154 (in millions) for the nine months ended September 30, 2026.
  • On October 16, United expanded its revolving credit facility, with available liquidity rising from $3 billion previously to $5 billion under the new facility.

Analysis

United reported record Q3 total operating revenue of $ 17,875 (in millions), up 17.4%, despite capacity growth of only 1.3%. Passenger revenue increased 17.6%, cargo revenue increased 22.9%, and TRASM increased 15.9%. Management described broad-based strength in Premium, Basic Economy, loyalty, cargo and contracted business revenue. Domestic passenger revenue increased 19.9%, while international passenger revenue increased 14.3%; Middle East/India/Africa passenger revenue was the exception, declining (17.3%).

The cost profile constrained the conversion of unit-revenue growth into underlying earnings. Aircraft fuel expense increased 61.6% to $ 4,843 (in millions), with average fuel price per gallon at $ 3.90 compared with $ 2.43. Total operating expense increased 18.8%, exceeding revenue growth. GAAP operating income rose 3.6% to $ 1,446 (in millions), aided by special charges (credits), while adjusted operating income declined 6.9% to $ 1,231 (in millions). Adjusted operating margin declined to 6.9 % from 8.7 %.

GAAP net income increased 8.5% to $ 1,029 (in millions), and diluted earnings per share increased 8.3% to $ 3.14. Adjusted net income declined 8.4% to $ 833 (in millions), and adjusted diluted earnings per share declined 8.6% to $ 2.54. The divergence reflects, among other items, special charges (credits) of $ (215) (in millions) in Q3 2026, primarily including gains on aircraft sale-leaseback transactions. The effective tax rate was 21.5 %, compared with 24.4 %.

Cash generation was pressured by investment activity. Q3 net cash provided by operating activities was $ 465 (in millions), net cash used in investing activities was $ (3,839) (in millions), and free cash flow was $ (1,843) (in millions). At September 30, 2026, cash and cash equivalents were $ 6,648 (in millions), short-term investments were $ 8,005 (in millions), and debt, finance lease obligations and other financial liabilities were $ 26,398 (in millions). United also expanded its revolving credit facility on October 16, increasing available liquidity from $3 billion previously to $5 billion under the new facility.

For Q4, United expects total operating revenue growth to accelerate versus Q3, set another record and increase by over 20% year over year. The supplied release does not provide numerical guidance for earnings, margins, operating expenses or fuel. Operationally, the company is positioning Starlink as a differentiator, with more than 640 equipped aircraft and planned availability of 61% by the end of 2026, 87% by June 1, and fleet-wide availability by the end of 2027.

Management, verbatim

Our employees met the challenge of our ever-changing environment and our results prove the resilience of focusing on building a brand-loyal airline for customers.

Scott Kirby, United CEO

We are winning new long-term, brand-loyal United customers because they are trying us for Starlink but staying with us for the industry-leading app, great service, on-board product and technology,

Scott Kirby, United CEO

Not in the filing

stated, not guessed
  • Previous-quarter comparisons for reported Q3 metrics.
  • Q4 2026 numerical guidance for earnings, earnings per share, operating margin, pre-tax margin, operating expenses, CASM, CASM-ex, capacity, fuel price and tax rate.
  • Prior guidance, because no previous outlook section was provided.
  • Gross margin, which was not reported.
  • Dividend amount or dividend policy, which was not reported.
  • Q3 cash flow statement line items other than those presented in the free-cash-flow reconciliation.
  • A separate Q3 reported free-cash-flow capital-return figure beyond the nine-month common-stock repurchase amount.

Written by an AI language model from the company’s SEC earnings filing (Form 8-K Item 2.02, or Form 6-K for a foreign private issuer). Every figure is checked against the filing text, and a metric the filing does not print, or whose value, prior period and change do not add up, is dropped from the metrics. The model can still misread a table, in the metrics or in the text, so check a number in the filing before you rely on it. Consensus estimates, price targets and share-price reactions are not shown because they are not in the filing. AI-generated research, not investment advice.

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