$WMG earnings report

Robust Revenue Growth Underpinned by Strong Operating Performance across Recorded Music and Music Publishing. AlphaAI read Warner Music Group's fiscal third quarter filing as strong. 2 quarters are on record below.

fiscal third quarter

alphai · Earnings readWMG · fiscal third quarter · ended June 30, 2026

Robust Revenue Growth Underpinned by Strong Operating Performance across Recorded Music and Music Publishing

Strong quarter

Total revenue increased 10.4%, operating income increased 80.5% to $305 million, Adjusted OIBDA increased 16.1% to $433 million, and cash provided by operating activities increased to $142 million.

Revenue
$1,864 million
10.4% y/y
Recorded Music
$1,488 million
9.9% y/y
EPS · GAAP
$0.38

Key metrics

as reported
MetricValueq/qy/y
Total revenue, three months ended June 30, 2026GAAP$1,864 million10.4%
Recorded Music revenue, three months ended June 30, 2026GAAP$1,488 million9.9%
Music Publishing revenue, three months ended June 30, 2026GAAP$377 million12%
Operating income, three months ended June 30, 2026GAAP$305 million80.5%
Adjusted OIBDA, three months ended June 30, 2026non-GAAP$433 million16.1%
Adjusted OIBDA margin, three months ended June 30, 2026non-GAAP23.2%increased 1.1 percentage points
Net income, three months ended June 30, 2026GAAP$200 million
Basic earnings per share, Class A shareholders, three months ended June 30, 2026GAAP$0.39
Basic earnings per share, Class B shareholders, three months ended June 30, 2026GAAP$0.39
Diluted earnings per share, Class A shareholders, three months ended June 30, 2026GAAP$0.38
Diluted earnings per share, Class B shareholders, three months ended June 30, 2026GAAP$0.39
Adjusted earnings per share, three months ended June 30, 2026non-GAAP$0.51
Net cash provided by operating activities, three months ended June 30, 2026GAAP$142 million209%
Free Cash Flow, three months ended June 30, 2026non-GAAP$114 million
Capital expenditures, three months ended June 30, 2026GAAP$28 milliondecrease of $11 million, or 28%
Recorded Music operating income, three months ended June 30, 2026GAAP$326 million62%
Recorded Music Adjusted OIBDA, three months ended June 30, 2026non-GAAP$377 million17%
Recorded Music digital revenue, three months ended June 30, 2026GAAP$1,016 million9.4%
Recorded Music physical revenue, three months ended June 30, 2026GAAP$137 million
Recorded Music total digital and physical revenue, three months ended June 30, 2026GAAP$1,153 million
Recorded Music artist services and expanded-rights revenue, three months ended June 30, 2026GAAP$224 million
Recorded Music licensing revenue, three months ended June 30, 2026GAAP$111 millionremained constant with the prior-year quarter
Total revenue, nine months ended June 30, 2026GAAP$5,436 million12%
Recorded Music revenue, nine months ended June 30, 2026GAAP$4,348 million12%
Music Publishing revenue, nine months ended June 30, 2026GAAP$1,092 million13%
Operating income, nine months ended June 30, 2026GAAP$857 million56%
Adjusted OIBDA, nine months ended June 30, 2026non-GAAP$1,293 million24%
Net income, nine months ended June 30, 2026GAAP$556 million
Net cash provided by operating activities, nine months ended June 30, 2026GAAP$708 million58%
Free Cash Flow, nine months ended June 30, 2026non-GAAP$633 million88%
Recorded Music digital revenue, nine months ended June 30, 2026GAAP$2,967 million
Recorded Music physical revenue, nine months ended June 30, 2026GAAP$426 million
Recorded Music total digital and physical revenue, nine months ended June 30, 2026GAAP$3,393 million
Recorded Music artist services and expanded-rights revenue, nine months ended June 30, 2026GAAP$619 million
Recorded Music licensing revenue, nine months ended June 30, 2026GAAP$336 million
Recorded Music operating income, nine months ended June 30, 2026GAAP$943 million47%
Recorded Music Adjusted OIBDA, nine months ended June 30, 2026non-GAAP$1,126 million23%

Segments

SegmentRevenueq/qy/y
Recorded MusicRevenue growth was driven by increases across digital, artist services and expanded-rights and physical revenue.$1,488 million9.9%
Music PublishingThe increase in total revenue was driven in part by growth across Music Publishing synchronization, mechanical and performance revenue.$377 million12%

FY2026 outlook

  • NoteContinue to Expect High End of 150-200 Basis Points Full-Year Margin Expansion Guidance
  • NoteReiterate 50-60% Operating Cash Flow Conversion Target for FY2026

What drove it

  • Total revenue was up 10.4%, or 9.3% in constant currency.
  • Digital revenue was up 10.5%, or 9.1% in constant currency, and streaming revenue was up 12.3%, or 10.8% in constant currency.
  • Recorded Music subscription revenue increased 12.5%, or 10.8% in constant currency, reflecting positive market share trends, subscriber growth and improved terms with DSP partners.
  • Music Publishing streaming revenue increased 14.4%, or 13.8% in constant currency.
  • Adjusted OIBDA and Adjusted OIBDA margin benefited from strong operating performance, revenue mix and savings from restructuring plans, a portion of which was reinvested into the business.
  • Operating income benefited from a decrease in restructuring and impairment charges of $62 million.

Concerns

  • Recorded Music comparisons were impacted by $16 million of digital revenue from the Copyright Settlement in the prior-year quarter.
  • The BMG Termination resulted in $10 million less Recorded Music digital revenue compared to the prior-year quarter.
  • Unfavorable movements in foreign currency exchange rates were approximately $16 million.
  • Licensing revenue remained constant with the prior-year quarter, or decreased 0.9% in constant currency.
  • Income tax expense increased by $62 million, primarily due to an increase in pre-tax income and a $20 million smaller benefit from EMP impairment.
  • Total debt was $4.710 billion as of June 30, 2026.

What to watch

  • Delivery of the high end of 150-200 Basis Points Full-Year Margin Expansion Guidance.
  • Delivery of the 50-60% Operating Cash Flow Conversion Target for FY2026.
  • Recorded Music subscription streaming growth and the effect of improved terms with DSP partners.
  • The ongoing effect of the BMG Termination on Recorded Music digital and streaming revenue.
  • Foreign currency exchange-rate movements.

Balance sheet and cash flow

  • Cash balance as of June 30, 2026: $618 million.
  • Total debt as of June 30, 2026: $4.710 billion.
  • Net debt as of June 30, 2026: $4.092 billion.
  • Total debt includes $303 million of subsidiary debt acquired in the acquisition of Tempo Music Holdings, LLC and $363 million in loans outstanding under the Beethoven JV.
  • Cash provided by operating activities increased $96 million, or 209%, to $142 million compared to $46 million in the prior-year quarter.
  • Free Cash Flow increased to $114 million from $7 million in the prior-year quarter.

Analysis

WMG reported a strong fiscal third quarter ended June 30, 2026. Total revenue increased 10.4% to $1,864 million, or 9.3% in constant currency. Excluding the $16 million Copyright Settlement in the prior-year quarter and the $10 million BMG Termination impact, total revenue increased 12.1%, or 11.0% in constant currency. Digital revenue increased 10.5% and streaming revenue increased 12.3%, providing the central contribution to reported growth.

Recorded Music revenue increased 9.9% to $1,488 million, while Music Publishing revenue increased 12% to $377 million. Recorded Music digital revenue increased 9.4% to $1,016 million, physical revenue increased to $137 million from $119 million, and artist services and expanded-rights revenue increased to $224 million from $195 million. Recorded Music licensing revenue was $111 million and remained constant with the prior-year quarter. Subscription revenue increased 12.5%, supported by positive market share trends, subscriber growth and improved terms with DSP partners.

Profitability expanded materially. Operating income increased 80.5% to $305 million, helped by a $62 million decrease in restructuring and impairment charges. Adjusted OIBDA increased 16.1% to $433 million, and Adjusted OIBDA margin increased 1.1 percentage points to 23.2% from 22.1%. Revenue mix, restructuring-plan savings and operating performance supported the result, although unfavorable foreign-exchange movements were approximately $16 million.

Net income was $200 million, compared with a loss of $16 million in the prior-year quarter. The change included a $3 million gain on the Company's Euro-denominated debt compared with a $70 million loss in the prior-year quarter, as well as a $1 million currency exchange loss on intercompany loans compared with a $63 million loss. Adjusted earnings per share was $0.51 compared with $0.42. Cash provided by operating activities rose to $142 million from $46 million, and Free Cash Flow increased to $114 million from $7 million as capital expenditures declined to $28 million from $39 million.

The company reiterated that it expects the high end of its 150-200 Basis Points Full-Year Margin Expansion Guidance and reiterated its 50-60% Operating Cash Flow Conversion Target for FY2026. Balance-sheet figures reported were $618 million of cash, $4.710 billion of total debt and $4.092 billion of net debt. Key monitoring items are the ongoing impact of the BMG Termination, foreign-exchange movements, the conversion of revenue growth into cash flow, and delivery against the stated full-year margin and cash-flow-conversion targets.

Management, verbatim

For the fifth consecutive quarter, WMG has delivered or over-delivered on our targets, proving the strength of our strategy and the momentum of our business.

Robert Kyncl, CEO, Warner Music Group

Our performance - driven by robust subscription streaming growth, market share gains, and disciplined operating leverage - highlights our ability to champion human creativity while deploying tech and AI to scale long-term profitability.

Robert Kyncl, CEO, Warner Music Group

Our strong results were highlighted by double-digit subscription streaming growth bolstered by contractual per-subscriber minimum increases and sustained global share performance.

Lou Dickler, Acting CFO, Warner Music Group

Not in the filing

stated, not guessed
  • Previous outlook section was not provided, so no comparison of actual results with prior guidance is available.
  • GAAP gross margin was not reported in the provided filing text.
  • GAAP operating expenses were not reported in the provided filing text.
  • Tax rate was not reported in the provided filing text.
  • Forward revenue guidance was not reported in the provided filing text.
  • Forward gross-margin guidance was not reported in the provided filing text.
  • Forward operating-expense guidance was not reported in the provided filing text.
  • Forward tax-rate guidance was not reported in the provided filing text.
  • Share repurchases and dividends were not reported in the provided filing text.
  • Prior-quarter comparisons were not reported for the disclosed metrics.
  • Prior-year diluted earnings per share by share class was not reported in the provided filing text.

AlphaAI analysis generated from the company’s SEC earnings filing (Form 8-K Item 2.02, or Form 6-K for a foreign private issuer). Every figure was cross-checked against the filing text; consensus estimates, price targets and share-price reactions are not shown because they are not in the filing. AI-generated research, not investment advice.

three months ended June 30, 2026

alphai · Earnings readWMG · three months ended June 30, 2026 · ended June 30, 2026

Preliminary estimates show consolidated revenue of approximately $1,864 million, operating income of approximately $305 million and Adjusted OIBDA of approximately $433 million for the three months ended June 30, 2026.

Strong quarter

Preliminary estimates indicate double-digit reported revenue growth, substantially higher operating income, Adjusted OIBDA growth, positive GAAP EPS versus a prior-year loss, and sharply higher operating cash flow. Results remain unaudited preliminary estimates subject to completion of closing procedures and review.

Revenue
approximately $1,864 million
10% (or 9% in constant currency) y/y
Recorded Music
approximately $1,488 million
10% (or 9% in constant currency) y/y
EPS · non-GAAP
$0.51
twelve months ended September 30, 2026 outlook
high-single-digit consolidated revenue growth

Key metrics

as reported
MetricValueq/qy/y
Consolidated revenueGAAPapproximately $1,864 million10% (or 9% in constant currency)
Consolidated digital revenueGAAPapproximately $1,251 million11% (or 9% in constant currency)
Recorded Music streaming revenueGAAPapproximately $1,001 million12% (or 10% in constant currency)
Recorded Music subscription revenue growthGAAP12% (or 11% in constant currency)12% (or 11% in constant currency)
Recorded Music ad-supported revenue growthGAAP10% (or 8% in constant currency)10% (or 8% in constant currency)
Music Publishing digital revenueGAAPapproximately $235 million15% (same in constant currency)
Operating incomeGAAP$305 million80%
Operating income marginGAAP16.4%
Adjusted OIBDAnon-GAAP$433 million16% (or 15% in constant currency)
Adjusted OIBDA marginnon-GAAP23.2%
Net income attributable to Warner Music Group Corp.GAAP$204 million— %
Net incomeGAAP$200 million— %
Income attributable to noncontrolling interestGAAP$(4 million)— %
Income tax expenseGAAP$67 million— %
Income including income taxesGAAP$267 million— %
Other (income) expense, netGAAP$(11 million)— %
Interest expense, netGAAP$49 million14%
Amortization expenseother$78 million16%
Depreciation expenseother$33 million14%
Restructuring and impairmentsother$7 million-90%
Transformation initiative costsother$10 million-47%
Executive transition costsother-100%
Non-cash stock-based compensation and other related costsother-100%
Net income attributable to common shareholdersGAAP$203 million— %
Net income attributable to participating securitiesGAAP$(1 million)— %
Adjusted Net Incomenon-GAAP$266 million21%
Tax impactnon-GAAP$(21 million)-72%
Weighted Avg Shares Outstanding - Class A - Basicother146,297
Weighted Avg Shares Outstanding - Class B - Basicother375,380
Unadjusted (GAAP) EPS - Class A - BasicGAAP$0.39
Adjusted EPS - Class A - Basicnon-GAAP$0.51
Assumed effective tax rateother25%
Cash provided by operating activitiesGAAPapproximately $142 millionincreased $96 million or 209%

Segments

SegmentRevenueq/qy/y
Recorded MusicRecorded Music streaming revenue is estimated to have increased 12% (or 10% in constant currency), reflecting growth in subscription revenue of 12% (or 11% in constant currency) and ad-supported revenue of 10% (or 8% in constant currency).approximately $1,488 million10% (or 9% in constant currency)
Music PublishingMusic Publishing digital revenue is estimated to have increased 15% (same in constant currency) to approximately $235 million from $204 million.approximately $377 million12% (or 11% in constant currency)

twelve months ended September 30, 2026 outlook

  • Revenuehigh-single-digit consolidated revenue growth
  • Notedouble-digit Adjusted OIBDA growth
  • Notedouble-digit Adjusted EPS growth
  • Note50-60% operating cash flow conversion
  • NoteAdjusted OIBDA margin increase versus the prior year at the high end of its 150-200 basis point financial target

What drove it

  • Consolidated digital revenue is estimated to have increased 11% (or 9% in constant currency) to approximately $1,251 million.
  • Recorded Music streaming revenue is estimated to have increased 12% (or 10% in constant currency).
  • Music Publishing digital revenue is estimated to have increased 15% (same in constant currency).
  • The Adjusted OIBDA increase was primarily attributable to strong operating performance in the quarter and savings from the Company’s restructuring plans.

Concerns

  • The information is preliminary estimated financial information, is unaudited, and the Company has not finalized its results for the periods presented.
  • The preliminary estimates are inherently uncertain, subject to change as the Company completes closing procedures and review, and actual financial results may materially differ.
  • KPMG LLP has not performed procedures with respect to the preliminary estimated financial information and has not expressed an opinion or other form of assurance.
  • Total consolidated indebtedness is estimated to have been approximately $4,710 million, including non-recourse indebtedness of $666 million.

What to watch

  • Completion of closing procedures and review of preliminary estimated financial information for the three months ended June 30, 2026.
  • Delivery against the financial targets of high-single-digit consolidated revenue growth, double-digit Adjusted OIBDA and Adjusted EPS growth, and 50-60% operating cash flow conversion.
  • Delivery of an Adjusted OIBDA margin increase versus the prior year at the high end of the 150-200 basis point financial target for the twelve months ended September 30, 2026.
  • Recorded Music subscription and ad-supported streaming revenue growth and Music Publishing digital revenue growth.

Balance sheet and cash flow

  • Cash and cash equivalents are estimated as of June 30, 2026 to have been approximately $618 million.
  • Total consolidated indebtedness is estimated as of June 30, 2026 to have been approximately $4,710 million, which includes non-recourse indebtedness of $666 million.
  • Cash provided by operating activities is estimated to have increased $96 million or 209%, to approximately $142 million from $46 million for the three months ended June 30, 2025.

Analysis

Warner Music Group's preliminary estimates for the three months ended June 30, 2026 show broad-based revenue growth. Consolidated revenue is estimated at approximately $1,864 million, up 10% or 9% in constant currency. Digital revenue is estimated at approximately $1,251 million, up 11% or 9% in constant currency, while Recorded Music streaming revenue is estimated at approximately $1,001 million, up 12% or 10% in constant currency. Both subscription and ad-supported Recorded Music streaming revenue increased, and Music Publishing digital revenue is estimated to have increased 15%.

The two operating segments both posted double-digit estimated reported revenue growth prior to intersegment eliminations. Recorded Music revenue is estimated at approximately $1,488 million, up 10%, and Music Publishing revenue is estimated at approximately $377 million, up 12%. The stated streaming and digital results identify digital monetization as a principal contributor across both businesses.

Profitability improved materially in the preliminary estimates. Operating income is estimated to have increased 80% to approximately $305 million, with operating income margin reported at 16.4% versus 10.0%. Adjusted OIBDA is estimated to have increased 16% to approximately $433 million, and its margin was 23.2% versus 22.1%. The Company attributed the period-over-period Adjusted OIBDA increase primarily to strong operating performance and savings from restructuring plans. The reconciliation also shows restructuring and impairments of $7 million compared with $69 million, transformation initiative costs of $10 million compared with $19 million, and no executive transition costs or non-cash stock-based compensation and other related costs compared with prior-year amounts.

GAAP profitability turned positive, with estimated net income attributable to Warner Music Group Corp. of $204 million compared with a loss of $16 million, and basic Class A GAAP EPS of $0.39 compared with $(0.03). Adjusted Net Income is reported at $266 million versus $220 million, while Adjusted EPS is estimated at $0.51 versus $0.42. Cash provided by operating activities is estimated at approximately $142 million, an increase of $96 million or 209%, which the Company said was largely a result of strong operating performance.

The Company reiterated targets for high-single-digit consolidated revenue growth, double-digit Adjusted OIBDA and Adjusted EPS growth, and 50-60% operating cash flow conversion. It expects an Adjusted OIBDA margin increase versus the prior year at the high end of its 150-200 basis point target for the twelve months ended September 30, 2026. The key qualification is that all current-period figures are preliminary, unaudited estimates subject to change as closing procedures and review are completed.

Not in the filing

stated, not guessed
  • Prior-quarter comparisons for reported revenue, segment revenue, profitability, EPS, cash flow and balance-sheet metrics.
  • Gross profit and gross margin.
  • Operating expenses.
  • Free cash flow.
  • Capital returns, including share repurchases and dividends.
  • Debt maturities, interest rate information and prior-year cash and indebtedness comparisons.
  • Diluted weighted-average shares outstanding and diluted EPS.
  • Prior outlook section or prior-period guidance, so no comparison against prior guidance is available.
  • Named executive commentary or executive quotes.

AlphaAI analysis generated from the company’s SEC earnings filing (Form 8-K Item 2.02, or Form 6-K for a foreign private issuer). Every figure was cross-checked against the filing text; consensus estimates, price targets and share-price reactions are not shown because they are not in the filing. AI-generated research, not investment advice.

Questions about WMG earnings dates

When is Warner Music Group's next earnings date?
AlphaAI has no confirmed date for WMG yet. We publish an earnings date only once the company has set it, so this page shows one the day that happens.
Where does the date come from, and why is there no estimate?
A confirmed date comes from the company's own announcement. Many sites fill the gap by adding about 91 days to the last report, but that arithmetic is a guess, and a wrong date costs a reader more than a missing one, so AlphaAI shows nothing until the company confirms. Every quarter already on this page is read straight from the SEC filing: an 8-K item 2.02 for US filers, a 6-K earnings release for foreign private issuers.
WMG Earnings Date & Report — Warner Music Group Results | alphai