UBS Estimates New Capital Demands at $13 Billion Under Swiss Parliament Plan — Update

UBS Group AG (NYSE:UBS) announced cash tender offers for nine series of debt securities, originally issued by Credit Suisse. The offers, part of UBS's funding management, total up to $6 billion. The deadline is September 10, 2026, with settlement expected on September 14, 2026. The offers are not subject to a minimum tender condition or financing condition.

Twenty-one global financial institutions, including Bank of America (BAC), Goldman Sachs (GS), and Citigroup (C), are forming a company to launch a regulated stablecoin. The initial focus is a U.S. dollar-denominated stablecoin, with plans to expand into other G7 currencies. The stablecoin is expected to launch in the first half of 2027 and will target wholesale, institutional, and retail markets for cross-border payments and digital asset settlements. The venture aims to comply with U.S. and EU

Swiss lawmakers proposed easing UBS's capital requirements, allowing up to half to be met with AT1 bonds instead of CET1 capital. UBS had opposed the original plan, which could have required $20bn in additional capital. The compromise would reduce CET1 needs to $400mn and require $16bn in AT1 bonds, according to JPMorgan. The changes aim to balance UBS's competitiveness with Swiss financial stability.

UBS may use convertible debt (AT1s) for up to 50% of Switzerland's $20B capital requirement, per a Senate committee. UBS has pushed for this compromise, while the Swiss Bankers Association opposes the stricter capital rules. The decision could reduce the impact on UBS's profitability and bonuses, but faces further legislative hurdles.

UBS issued a 2 billion yuan (297 million USD) panda bond with a 1.78% coupon rate, the lowest for a foreign financial institution. The bank sees China's bond market as increasingly important for international funding. UBS is expanding its presence in China, increasing stakes in UBS Securities and UBS Futures. The bank aims to strengthen its investment banking, wealth, and asset management businesses in China, citing opportunities in AI and tech IPOs.

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) vice-president Antoine Martin reiterated that UBS should fully back its foreign units with high-quality equity capital (CET1) in Switzerland. The SNB opposes a Senate committee proposal allowing UBS to use less high-quality AT1 bonds for half of the requirement. UBS argues the plan would make it uncompetitive. The SNB believes higher capital requirements do not necessarily reduce profitability.