Top software stocks to watch this earnings season for upside surprises
Goldman Sachs identifies Fortinet (FTNT), Cloudflare (NET), Alphabet (GOOGL), Microsoft (MSFT), Palantir (PLTR), and Snowflake (SNOW) as top software stocks with potential for earnings surprises. The selection is based on recent earnings beats, positive estimate revisions, and revenue growth. Fortinet leads with consistent EPS beats and revenue estimate increases, while Cloudflare offers high growth but carries significant valuation risk.
How this was made
The 30-second read
Why it matters
It provides a relative ranking of names by beat consistency, estimate revisions, and valuation, but it does not report any new earnings/guidance release in the text itself.
Market read
Useful for positioning into upcoming earnings dates, but it is primarily a promotional watchlist rather than a first-report of new disclosures.
What to watch
The article is an earnings-season watchlist and does not provide new company-specific disclosures beyond previously known beat/revision streaks, so traders should verify the latest consensus and any guidance commentary closer to the print.
Background
The piece is an earnings-season watchlist arguing software has regained leadership as AI fears fade, using beat streaks and estimate revisions to identify upside-surprise candidates.
Ticker impact
Fortinet is flagged as the highest-conviction upside-surprise candidate with four straight EPS beats and 90-day EPS revisions up 12.09%.
Likely upward pressure if results and guidance confirm the recent EPS beat and estimate revisions; otherwise valuation risk could cap upside.
The article cites a consistent beat profile and rising EPS estimates, but also highlights a high 55.9x forward P/E that can amplify downside on any guidance caution.
Cloudflare is presented as the notable setup with four consecutive EPS beats and 33.5% revenue growth, despite a 272.9x forward P/E.
Shares may rise on a strong beat, but could face selling if management does not raise the revenue trajectory enough to justify the valuation.
The piece emphasizes both strong growth and consecutive EPS beats, while explicitly warning that the forward multiple is demanding and a beat may not be sufficient.
Alphabet A is listed as a safer large-cap setup with four straight EPS beats and a comparatively moderate 25.5x forward P/E.
Moderate upside bias if earnings confirm the recent beat streak and revenue revisions remain supportive; less valuation-driven downside than higher-multiple names.
The article ties the setup to consecutive EPS beats and a lower forward P/E, and mentions AI model rollout and Google Cloud demand as catalysts.
Microsoft is included as a quality compounder with four straight EPS beats and the article notes a prior 14.68% price reaction after an 11.79% EPS beat.
Potentially positive reaction if results show earnings acceleration consistent with the recent beat; otherwise the market may fade the narrative.
The article provides setup metrics but does not disclose a fresh, new earnings datapoint in this text beyond referencing a prior reaction, reducing decision edge.
Palantir is flagged for maximum upside torque with four straight EPS beats and 90-day revenue revisions of +8.77%, but high expectations.
Likely volatility with upside bias if the company sustains revision momentum; downside risk if guidance disappoints relative to expectations.
The article explicitly frames PLTR as biggest upside with biggest expectations risk, supported by revision and beat streak references and a high 121.7x forward P/E.
Snowflake is listed with four straight EPS beats and 60-day EPS revisions up 16.33%, positioned as strongest revision momentum.
Upward pressure likely if earnings and guidance validate the revision trend; limited upside if the company fails to accelerate.
The article highlights strong EPS revision momentum and consecutive beats, while noting valuation at 156.1x forward P/E as a constraint.
Meta is described as a trap for upside-surprise setups after its latest EPS missed by 13.81% and EPS estimates fell 8.60% over 90 days.
Downward or muted reaction risk if results do not quickly reverse the negative revision trend.
The article directly cites an EPS miss and falling estimates over 90 days, which typically weighs on the probability of an upside surprise.
Market effects
Reinforces a software earnings-season narrative that cybersecurity and enterprise automation are driving growth, potentially supporting sector-wide risk appetite.
Primarily US large-cap software names, so impact is concentrated in US tech/enterprise software sentiment.
Limited direct global linkage beyond AI-related demand themes referenced for cloud and memory constraints.
Counterpoint
Upside-surprise framing may be crowded, and very high forward P/Es (especially NET, SNOW, PLTR) can turn even good prints into selloffs if guidance is not meaningfully raised.
Key entities
- companyFortinet
Presented as the highest-conviction upside-surprise candidate with four straight EPS beats and rising EPS revisions.
- companyCloudflare
Presented as a high-growth setup with consecutive EPS beats but an extremely high forward P/E that raises expectations risk.
- companyAlphabet
Presented as a comparatively safer large-cap setup with consecutive EPS beats and moderate forward valuation.
- companyMicrosoft
Included as a quality compounder, with the market focused on whether cloud and AI investment accelerates earnings.
- companyPalantir
Flagged for maximum upside torque but also the biggest expectations risk due to valuation.


