The Metals Company Trades at $2.65. Analysts See It at $10. Here's What Would Need to Go Right for It to Close That Gap.
The Metals Company (TMC) stock has fallen 73% in 2026. Analysts at Stifel initiated coverage with a buy rating and a $10 price target, implying significant upside from its current $2.65 share price. The company faces regulatory hurdles, including NOAA certification and potential challenges from the International Seabed Authority, before it can begin commercial seabed mining operations.
How this was made

The 30-second read
Why it matters
Stifel's new coverage and $10 target may attract speculative capital, but execution risk remains high due to pending regulatory approvals.
Market read
Analyst initiation could spark short‑term buying, but long‑term price depends on regulatory clearances.
What to watch
Potential challenges from the International Seabed Authority and lack of a final NOAA permit.
Background
The Metals Company (NASDAQ:TMC) is a seabed mining specialist seeking permits for polymetallic nodule extraction. Recent U.S. executive orders aim to reduce reliance on Chinese minerals.
Ticker impact
Stifel initiated coverage on The Metals Company, assigning a buy rating and a $10 price target, a fresh analyst upgrade for the micro‑cap stock.
likely upward pressure as traders price in the $10 target
The coverage is new and the target represents a large upside from current levels, prompting potential short‑term buying.
Market effects
Highlights growing investor interest in seabed mining and critical minerals sector.
U.S. investors may increase exposure to rare‑metal supply plays.
Limited to niche mining and ESG‑focused investors.
Counterpoint
Regulatory and permitting uncertainties could delay commercialization, limiting upside.
Key entities
- companyThe Metals Company
Seabed mining firm listed on NASDAQ under ticker TMC.
- analystStifel
Investment bank that initiated coverage with a buy rating.



