BTIG maintains Sell rating on Roblox, $42 price target

Roblox Corp. (RBLX) shares fell 3% after Bleecker Street Research published a report alleging vulnerabilities in its child safety measures and declining user metrics. The short seller disclosed a short position, citing easy circumvention of age verification and access to explicit content. Roblox's daily active users and monthly paying users declined, with third-quarter bookings guidance indicating a 14% to 18% drop. Bleecker Street argues the company faces structural growth challenges.

Roblox, a popular game among children, is shifting focus to attract adult users due to regulatory pressures. The company introduced age verification, which slowed user growth and led to a lowered full-year bookings forecast. Roblox faces legal battles and is now increasing incentives for adult users. Experts warn of challenges in balancing content for different age groups.

Roblox (RBLX) reports Q3 earnings on Oct. 29, with bookings expected to decline 14-18% YoY. Revenue grew 36% to $1.5B last quarter, but bookings rose only 8% to $1.6B. CEO David Baszucki cited player behavior and algorithm changes. Analysts expect wider losses and 19.1% revenue growth. The stock is down 34.73% YTD but up 7.96% in the past month.

Newzoo's report highlights Roblox's user trends, noting 123M daily active players in Q2 2026, down from Q1. Roblox players favor arcade, co-op, and survival-horror games, with sports titles like EA Sports FC 26 over-indexing. The platform faces challenges from age-verification procedures and a decline in viral hits. Lapsed Roblox players often transition to games like Fortnite, Minecraft, and Call of Duty, with EA Sports FC attracting 12% of them.

Cathie Wood's ARK Invest bought $24.7M of Meta (META) shares while selling $3.3M of Palantir (PLTR) and Roblox (RBLX) shares. Meta's stock fell 7% post-earnings due to AI spending concerns, despite revenue growth. Palantir rose 93% YoY, raising its full-year forecast. Roblox gained 2.68% but remains down 58% YoY, facing growth and competition challenges.

A Roblox shareholder sued the company's CEO, David Baszucki, and eight other current and former directors, alleging they misled investors about the impact of age verification checks on user growth. The lawsuit claims the checks significantly reduced daily active users, contrary to executives' prior statements, and that Baszucki profited from 'unusually timed' share sales. Roblox's stock fell 18% after the Q1 earnings call revealed the checks' negative effects.