Affirm’s Levchin Calls “30-Plus” Growth the Floor. GMV Just Grew 34%
Affirm reported Q1 revenue of $1.26B (+35% YoY) and GMV of $14.4B (+34% YoY), beating expectations. Affirm Card GMV surged 117% to $3.3B. Nexi announced a BNPL partnership with Affirm. Shares fell 7% despite growth, with delinquencies rising to 2.9%. Affirm raised its fiscal 2027 GMV forecast to over $65.25B. CEO Levchin stated 30% growth is the minimum target. Analysts' average price target is $98, 44% above Friday's close of $68.
How this was made
The 30-second read
Why it matters
The earnings beat and guidance raise expectations for continued high‑growth, but the modest guidance lift and rising delinquency risk keep the stock under pressure.
Market read
Affirm's earnings and guidance provide fresh data for traders; the stock's recent decline suggests a potential short‑term trade, while the European partnership adds a longer‑term upside narrative.
What to watch
The new partnership with Nexi may unlock additional European volume and diversify merchant concentration.
Background
Affirm's Q1 earnings beat expectations and the company announced a strategic BNPL partnership with Italy's Nexi while raising its GMV outlook.
Ticker impact
Affirm reported Q1 revenue up 35% to $1.26B, GMV up 34%, and raised FY2027 GMV guidance, while shares fell 7% week‑over‑week.
likely downside as the market prices in modest guidance and credit concerns
Guidance nudges up only modestly despite impressive growth; higher delinquency and card‑related credit exposure weigh on valuation.
Market effects
Positive for the broader BNPL sector on growth, but credit‑risk concerns may temper enthusiasm.
U.S. fintech stocks may see modest pressure; European partner Nexi could benefit from the new partnership.
Affirm's results influence global digital‑payments sentiment, especially in Europe where it expands.
Counterpoint
The 30%+ growth trajectory could outpace credit concerns, offering a buying opportunity on the dip.
Key entities
- CompanyAffirm Holdings
U.S. fintech offering BNPL and credit products.
- CompanyNexi
Italian payments group partnering with Affirm.




